What happens when a global investment Bankgets its computers to run 10,000 virtual tournaments to guesstimate who is going to bring home The World Cup Germanywin again.testing.. we are here....
Switzerland's Ubshas released its quadrennial report into the best bet punters can make during the most watched Sportsevent in the world.
The 29-page analysis is not kind to the hosts.
Russiaare given a 1.6 percent chance of winning the Footballextravaganza when it kicks in a month -- which puts them one spot below Mexicoand Switzerland
Defending champions Germanycome out tops with a 24 percent chance of claiming the trophy while Braziland Spainround out the top three.
"It is almost a given that the new champion will come from either Europeor Latin America," Ubssaid.
"The likelihood of a champion from Asia, Africa, the Middle East, or North Americais almost nil." The report is part a tongue-and-cheek look at the June 14 to July 15 competition and part a serious analysis of Russia's investment climate.
It includes Italyin its permutations despite the four-time winners failing to make their first final since 1958.
"The tournament doesn't seem quite the same without them," Ubswrote in a section called "A tribute to Italy".
The Azzurri are given the same odds of winning as Russia
It also identified five must-watch matches that are sure to be "nail-biters".
Ubspredicts that Spainwill win the Iberian darby over Portugaland that England will edge out highly fancies Belgiumin the decisive group stage round.
And it takes a slight departure to note that Russiahas the same surface area as the dwarf planet Pluto.
Ubssays in more sombre tones that Russiais still a nation recovering from economic sanctions imposed by the West over its actions in Ukraine
A growing list of diplomatic standoffs has cast a shadow over the first tournament ever staged in Eastern Europe
Several nations will not be sending dignitaries to the opening ceremony in protest over the March Poisoningof former Russian SpySergei Skripalin England.
Moscowfuriously denied trying to kill him with a nerve agent in retaliation for his work for British Intelligence
"While we hope that the best team wins, we also hope that the outcome is less devastating than last time, when our colleagues in Sao Paulowere depressed for several weeks afterwards," Ubswrote in reference to host nation Brazil's 7-1 loss to Germanyin the 2014 semi-final.ole as a host nation has resulted in significant controversy," Ubsnotes. But the Banktries to look past the disputes to focus on the beautiful game itself and the emotions that it carries for millions across the world.
That result put Ubscomputers to shame -- the Bankhad picked Brazilto win the whole thing.
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